Summary
James Conner carries a 73.0 dynasty score, ranking 67 at RB. His moderate production has led to a significant role change due to the expiration of his contract.
Projection Rationale
Conner’s 29.3 fantasy points in 2025 indicate a moderate production trajectory. His Verdict efficiency grade at the 65th percentile explains the gap between his usage and production. Additionally, his moderate production level and potential role reduction make it challenging to project significant growth.
Injury Risk
Conner had a practice injury in Week 4 of 2025. He has a Verdict durability grade at the 63rd percentile and is 31 years old, which may impact his ability to maintain a consistent workload.
Opportunity Notes
Conner’s snap share was 50.0% in 2025, trending stable. The team will need to adjust its strategy with a new coordinator in place.
Scheme Fit Analysis
Nathaniel Hackett coordinates a west coast offense with a 48.0% run rate. This scheme may limit Conner’s ceiling due to the potential for increased passing, which could impact his fantasy production.
Trend Assessment
Declining
Conner’s production declined in the 2025 season, with a Verdict production grade at the 76th percentile, and his efficiency grade at the 65th percentile. This decline is a notable trend, and it’s essential to monitor his performance moving forward.
Ceiling / Floor
Ceiling: RB2-RB3; Conner needs to maintain his moderate production level and role. If he can achieve this, he has the potential to be a solid RB2.
Floor: RB5; Conner’s trade value of 5,621 and Verdict durability grade at the 63rd percentile indicate a lower-tier finish range.
Comparable Player
Earnest Byner, 1986-1991