Summary
Dawson Knox carries a 80.0 dynasty score, ranking 31 at TE.
At 29 years old and with 2 years remaining on his contract, Knox’s production and efficiency grades indicate a promising trajectory, but his usage and durability grades suggest some volatility.
Projection Rationale
Knox’s 2025 season stats of 417 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns on 36/49 targets indicate a strong production trajectory. His Verdict grades, with a Production grade at the 46th percentile and an Efficiency grade at the 62nd percentile, suggest a gap between his production and efficiency. With 2 years remaining on his contract, Knox’s role security is stable.
Injury Risk
No injury entries in 2025. Dawson Knox’s Verdict durability grade percentile is 88th percentile, and he is 29 years old, indicating a moderate injury risk profile.
Opportunity Notes
Dawson Knox’s snap share percentage trended up in 2025, from 56.0% in Week 1 to 86.0% in Week 12. His role appears secure, with no competition mentioned in the context.
Scheme Fit Analysis
Pete Carmichael coordinates a west coast offense with a 78.0% shotgun rate and a 16.8% 12 personnel rate. This scheme helps Dawson Knox’s ceiling, as it emphasizes play-action and bootlegs, which suits his skills.
Trend Assessment
Rising: Dawson Knox is on an ascending trend, with his dynasty score and production grades indicating a steady increase in value.
Ceiling / Floor
Dawson Knox’s ceiling is TE1-TE2, requiring consistent usage and efficiency. His floor is TE4-TE5, referencing his trade value of 4,680 and his Verdict grades, which indicate some volatility.
Comparable Player
Ozzie Smith, 1980-1996.