Summary
Justin Hilliard enters Year 2 at age 25 as the Chiefs’ backup linebacker with 73 tackles and 231 pounds in 2025. He’s a mid-tier dynasty asset, ranking #398 among linebackers in Verdict’s dynasty score (5.0). Hilliard’s 2025 performance established a modest floor, with a stable role in the Chiefs’ 4-3 defense under Steve Spagnuolo.
Projection Rationale
Hilliard logged 73 tackles in 2025, a modest floor in a 4-3 defense with zone-heavy coverage under Steve Spagnuolo. The Chiefs’ scheme and role security provide a stable usage profile, but no notable ceiling exists due to Hilliard’s limited pass-rushing skills and tackling upside.
Injury Risk
Hilliard’s 2025 injury status is not reported, and no structural concerns are noted. As a backup linebacker, his contact exposure is moderate, but the Chiefs’ scheme and role security mitigate injury risk.
Opportunity Notes
Hilliard’s snap count held steady in 2025, but no target share or depth chart information is available. The Chiefs’ 4-3 defense under Steve Spagnuolo emphasizes zone coverage and tackling, which aligns with Hilliard’s skill set.
Scheme Fit Analysis
The Chiefs’ 4-3 defense under Steve Spagnuolo suits Hilliard’s tackling skills and zone coverage abilities. The scheme’s emphasis on well-timed blitz packages and disguised pre-snap looks creates a stable role for Hilliard, but limited pass-rushing upside remains a concern.
Trend Assessment
Unknown
With 2025 data available but limited, no clear trend emerges, and Hilliard’s dynasty value trajectory remains uncertain.
Ceiling / Floor
Ceiling tracks near 2025’s 73-tackle finish, with a modest floor established in a 4-3 defense with zone-heavy coverage. Regression to the mean is the primary concern, given Hilliard’s limited pass-rushing skills and tackling upside.
Comparable Player
His role as a mid-tier LB2 in the Chiefs’ 4-3 defense draws comparisons to Bobby Wagner from 2016-2017 Seattle — similar tackling volume, similar zone-heavy coverage, and similar limited pass-rushing upside.