Indianapolis Colts

Riley Leonard

Age
23
·
Sleeper ID
12470
Verdict scores
Trade Value 6,248
Win-Now 3.0/10
Consistency 0
Positional Rank 48
Trade Value Tier B
Trend → Stable
Scouting report

Summary

Riley Leonard enters his Year 2 in the NFL at age 23, ranking #80 in Verdict’s dynasty score (30.0, stable trend). He posted 32 fantasy points in 2025 on a 61.3% offensive snap share — a developing QB profile with moderate opportunity risk.

Projection Rationale

Leonard logs 61.3% of the Colts’ offensive snaps under Shane Steichen’s spread system, which should aid his growth as a young QB. The 2025 baseline — 415 pass yards on 39/67 (58.2%) accuracy, 2 passing TDs against 3 interceptions, and 27 rushing yards with 2 TDs on 6 carries — shows a modest floor. His 32-point finish establishes a stable projection floor.

Injury Risk

Leonard carried full participation in practice in Week 15 of 2025 — no DNPs, no missed game time, and 12 starts logged at a 61.3% snap share. Rushing exposure is modest at 27 yards on 6 carries.

Opportunity Notes

Snap share holds at 61.3% with weekly marks at 77.0% in Week 14, 7.0% in Week 16, and 100.0% in Week 18. The Colts run a spread system under Shane Steichen, and Leonard’s 415 pass attempts across 12 games confirm a developing QB profile. No QB2 threat exists on the depth chart.

Scheme Fit Analysis

Shane Steichen’s spread system under Andy Reid’s mentorship is built around Leonard’s growth as a young QB — the offense stretches horizontally and expects late-play creation rather than quick-game rhythm. The 2 TDs on 6 carries reflect designed keepers and scramble-drill extensions, both of which pay +0.5 in this scoring format. Scheme continuity plus a system engineered to his arm talent drives the QB3 ceiling.

Trend Assessment

Stable Verdict’s trade-value model tags Leonard as stable, reflecting his 61.3% snap share across 12 games in 2025 and moderate dynasty score of 30.0.

Ceiling / Floor

Ceiling clears 2025’s 32-point finish if passing TDs advance past 2 and rushing first downs expand beyond 0 — the combination pays heavily in this custom format with +6 TDs and +0.5 first downs. Floor tracks near 32 given locked 61.3% snap share and an unchanged scheme. A mid-season injury is the only realistic path to meaningful regression below that line.

Comparable Player

His developmental profile and improving accuracy draws comparisons to Justin Fields from 2022 Chicago — similar Year 2 starter, similar 58.2% completion rate, similar modest snap share.