Summary
Cole Kmet carries a 83.0 dynasty score, ranking 20 at TE. At age 27 with 3 years remaining on his contract, Kmet’s production trajectory is declining.
Projection Rationale
Kmet’s 347 receiving yards in 2025 indicate a stable usage trajectory, but his efficiency grade is at the 62nd percentile, suggesting room for improvement. Furthermore, his average depth of target is 9.2 yards, which is slightly above the NFL average. With 3 years remaining on his $12,500,000 APY contract, Kmet’s role security is solid. Additionally, he has been a consistent target for quarterback Justin Fields, averaging 30 targets per season.
Injury Risk
Kmet has no injury entries in 2025, but his durability grade is at the 98th percentile, indicating a low injury risk for his age.
Opportunity Notes
Kmet’s snap share percentage is trending down, averaging 74.3% in 2025, and his role is secure with 30 targets. However, his target distribution is becoming more inconsistent, with some games featuring a significant number of targets and others with few.
Scheme Fit Analysis
Declan Doyle coordinates a pass-heavy offense with a 54.2% pass rate and a 15.6% screen pass rate, which helps Kmet’s efficiency.
Trend Assessment
Declining. Kmet’s production is trending down, with a 30th percentile consistency grade and a declining trend.
Ceiling / Floor
Kmet’s ceiling is TE3-TE5, requiring a significant increase in targets and efficiency. His floor is TE7-TE10, referencing his trade value as market context.
Comparable Player
Tony Gonzalez, 1997-2008.