Summary
Nate Adkins carries a 46.0 dynasty score, ranking 114 at TE. At 26 years old with his contract expiring in 2027, Adkins’ production has declined, and his age trajectory suggests his ceiling is near.
Projection Rationale
Adkins’ 6/11 target share and 1 touchdown in 2025 indicate a declining production trajectory. His Verdict grades show a 24th percentile production grade and a 50th percentile efficiency grade, suggesting he struggles to efficiently convert targets into fantasy points. With 0 years remaining on his contract, Adkins’ role security is uncertain.
Injury Risk
No injury entries in 2025. Nate Adkins’ durability grade is at the 71st percentile, indicating above-average durability for a tight end, but his age and declining trend suggest his injury risk profile may increase.
Opportunity Notes
Adkins’ snap share trended stable in 2025, averaging 34.4% of the offense’s snaps. The tight end role in Denver is secure, but with his contract expiring, it’s uncertain if he’ll retain his starting spot.
Scheme Fit Analysis
The west coast offense coordinated by Davis Webb features a 64.3% shotgun rate, which helps Adkins’ production due to the scheme’s emphasis on short, high-percentage throws. However, the defensive scheme’s design may limit Adkins’ opportunities due to a 31.9% pressure rate.
Trend Assessment
Declining. Adkins’ Verdict trend direction is declining, and his consistency grade is at the 0th percentile, indicating a significant drop-off in production.
Ceiling / Floor
Ceiling: TE3-TE5. For Adkins to reach this ceiling, he must maintain a stable role and continue to be a reliable target for the Broncos. Floor: TE10-TE15. If Adkins loses his starting spot or sees a significant drop-off in targets, his floor will be lower.
Comparable Player
Tony Gonzalez, 1997-2008.