Summary
Xavier Smith carries a 47.0 dynasty score, ranking 233 at WR. He recorded 303 receiving yards with 18/24 targets and no touchdowns in 16 games, while maintaining 91st percentile durability. Smith’s dynasty score will rise with a new contract extension in 2027.
Projection Rationale
In 2025, Xavier Smith recorded 303 receiving yards with 18/24 targets and no touchdowns in 16 games. His 50th percentile efficiency grade indicates room for improvement, especially considering his 57th percentile usage grade. A new contract extension in 2027 will secure his role and provide a strong floor.
Injury Risk
No injury entries in 2025. Xavier Smith’s 91st percentile durability Verdict grade and young age (28) contribute to a relatively low injury risk.
Opportunity Notes
Xavier Smith’s snap share decreased to 23.9% in 2025, trending down. The WR role is not secure with competition from other receivers.
Scheme Fit Analysis
Sean McVay coordinates the Rams’ offense with a 21.3% play-action rate. The scheme helps Xavier Smith’s ceiling with a high pass rate and play-action frequency.
Trend Assessment
Rising
Xavier Smith’s dynasty score is rising due to an ascending trend and 91st percentile durability, enabling him to maintain a consistent role despite decreased snap share.
Ceiling / Floor
Ceiling: WR1-WR3 range with a strong target share and efficient usage. Floor: WR5-WR6 range with a low target share and decreased snap share.
Comparable Player
Michael Clayton, 2005-2009.