Summary
Trey Sermon carries a 43.0 dynasty score, ranking 156 at RB.
Sermon’s 2025 season stats indicate a sharp decline in production, with a Verdict production grade in the lower portion of the distribution. His age (26) and upcoming free agency (2026) also contribute to his declining trend.
Projection Rationale
Sermon’s 2025 season stats indicate a sharp decline in production, with a Verdict production grade in the lower portion of the distribution. His Verdict efficiency grade is at the 50th percentile, indicating some consistency in his efficiency. Sermon’s contract situation (APY: $396,000, Years Remaining: 0) and upcoming free agency (2026) contribute to uncertainty in his role security.
Injury Risk
No injury entries in 2025. Sermon’s age (26) and Verdict durability grade percentile (69th) indicate a relatively low risk profile.
Opportunity Notes
Sermon’s snap share percentage has trended stable in 2025. With his upcoming free agency (2026), his role security is uncertain.
Scheme Fit Analysis
The scheme has limited Sermon’s ceiling, as his primary role is as a reserve running back.
Trend Assessment
Declining. Sermon’s production has decreased, as seen in his Verdict production grade, and his age and contract situation further contribute to this decline.
Ceiling / Floor
Ceiling: RB3-RB5; Must maintain or increase his snap share percentage and production to reach this ceiling. Floor: RB6-RB8; Sermon’s trade value (3,010) indicates a lower floor if he loses his role or production declines further.
Comparable Player
Ernie Nevers, 1926.