Summary
Trey Lance carries a 43.0 dynasty score, ranking 98 at QB. Lance posted 14.5 fantasy points in 2025 on a 17-game schedule and has a remaining contract that is fully guaranteed. He is 26 years old.
Projection Rationale
Lance’s 2025 season stat line (14.5 fantasy points) suggests a low-end QB2 production trajectory. His Verdict grades (production at the 27th percentile, efficiency at the 50th percentile) highlight a gap between his production and efficiency. Lance has a fully guaranteed contract through the 2026 season.
Injury Risk
No injury entries in 2025. Lance’s Verdict durability grade is at the 24th percentile, indicating a moderate injury risk due to his age.
Opportunity Notes
Lance’s snap share percentage was stable at 12.0% in 2025. The QB role is not secure, as Lance faces competition from Justin Herbert in the Chargers’ offense.
Scheme Fit Analysis
Mike McDaniel coordinates a Shanahan-tree offense with a 71.1% shotgun rate. The scheme emphasizes zone-heavy coverage and motion, which may limit Lance’s ceiling.
Trend Assessment
Stable. Lance’s production remained steady throughout the 2025 season, and his contract situation is secure.
Ceiling / Floor
Lance’s ceiling is QB3-QB5, requiring increased efficiency and production to reach the top tier. His floor is QB6-QB8, as he may struggle to surpass the Chargers’ starting QB, Justin Herbert. Lance’s trade value is 3,440.
Comparable Player
Kellen Mond, 2022-2025.