Summary
Ted Hurst carries a 52.0 dynasty score, ranking 188 at WR. Hurst’s production trajectory is linked to his age (21) and 3-year contract with the Buccaneers.
Projection Rationale
Hurst’s 2025 stat line of 127 receptions and 1,965 receiving yards indicates a strong production trajectory. His 39th percentile efficiency grade and 29th percentile usage grade explain the gap between his production and durability. The Buccaneers signed Hurst to a 3-year contract with an APY of $1,729,014, ensuring his role security.
Injury Risk
No injury entries in 2025. Ted Hurst’s 29th percentile durability grade and 21-year-old age profile suggest a low injury risk.
Opportunity Notes
Hurst’s snap share is 64.7% in the shotgun formation, and his role is secure due to his contract situation.
Scheme Fit Analysis
Josh Grizzard coordinates a west_coast offense with a 64.7% shotgun rate and 18.6% 12-personnel rate. The scheme helps Hurst’s ceiling with a high target share and favorable target distribution.
Trend Assessment
Rising. Hurst’s production increased by 39th percentile efficiency grade and 29th percentile usage grade.
Ceiling / Floor
Hurst’s ceiling is WR3-WR5 if he maintains his 39th percentile efficiency grade and 29th percentile usage grade. His floor is WR6-WR8 if volume decreases or he loses the job, with a trade value of 3,380.
Comparable Player
Billy Johnson, 1979-1982.