Chicago Bears

Stephen Carlson, TE Bears | Dynasty Ranking & Value

Age
29
·
Sleeper ID
6451
Verdict scores
Trade Value 1,134
Win-Now 0.0/10
Consistency 0
Positional Rank 243
Trade Value Tier D
Trend → Stable
Scouting report

Summary

Stephen Carlson carries a 36.0 dynasty score, ranking 243 at TE. His 2025 season stats, particularly the 0th percentile Verdict production grade, indicate a significant decline in production. With a guaranteed contract remaining of $0 and no years remaining on his deal, he may be in a position to be let go or have his role changed.

Projection Rationale

The 0th percentile Verdict production grade in 2025 indicates a significant decline in production. The 68th percentile Verdict contract grade suggests that his contract situation is relatively secure for now. With no years remaining on his deal, he may be in a position to be let go or have his role changed.

Injury Risk

No injury entries in 2025. At 29 years old, Stephen Carlson’s durability is a 9th percentile Verdict durability grade, indicating a high injury risk.

Opportunity Notes

His snap share trend is stable at 10.5% in 2025. With the 32.6% usage of 12 personnel and 51.6% usage of 11 personnel, his role appears secure for now. However, with his production and efficiency grades in decline, his role may be reevaluated.

Scheme Fit Analysis

Declan Doyle coordinates a mcvay_tree offense with a 46.8% run rate and 53.2% pass rate. The 19.9% play-action rate and 51.6% usage of 11 personnel may limit his ceiling.

Trend Assessment

Declining. The 0th percentile Verdict production grade and stable snap trend indicate a decline in production and usage.

Ceiling / Floor

Ceiling: TE6-TE8, with a strong offseason and training camp to regain his previous form. Floor: TE9-TE12, with a reduced role or a new coaching staff leading to decreased production.

Comparable Player

Brian Griese, 1997-2006