Summary
Noah Gray carries a 78.0 dynasty score, ranking 35 at TE. With a 42nd percentile Verdict production grade, Gray’s production trajectory is declining heading into 2027, and his contract situation (2 years, $12M APY) means his role security is uncertain.
Projection Rationale
Gray’s 28.3 fantasy points in 2025 indicate a stable, albeit low, level of production. His Verdict efficiency grade at the 72nd percentile suggests room for improvement. With two years remaining on his contract, Gray’s role security is uncertain, and his production trajectory is declining.
Injury Risk
No injury entries in 2025. Gray’s Durability Verdict grade at the 98th percentile suggests low injury risk.
Opportunity Notes
Gray’s snap share has trended down in 2025, from 68.0% in Week 3 to 32.0% in Week 12. With Eric Bieniemy returning as OC, Gray’s role in the Chiefs’ offense may be uncertain.
Scheme Fit Analysis
Andy Reid coordinates a west_coast offense with a 42.4% run rate. Bieniemy’s scheme helps Gray’s production by providing a high target volume, but Gray’s efficiency has declined in 2025.
Trend Assessment
Declining
Gray’s dynasty score and Verdict grades indicate a decline in production, and his snap share has trended down in 2025.
Ceiling / Floor
Gray’s ceiling is TE2-TE3, and he must maintain his target share and efficiency to reach that level. His floor is TE6-TE8, and if his role decreases or he loses targets, his value will decrease to that range. Reference Gray’s trade value of 4,563.
Comparable Player
Owen Daniels, 2006-2011.