Summary
Keon Coleman carries a 79.0 dynasty score, ranking 77 at WR. Coleman produced 404 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns on 38/59 targets in 13 games, indicating a stable role and strong production. He is 23 years old with 3 years remaining on his contract.
Projection Rationale
Coleman’s 404 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns on 38/59 targets in 13 games indicate a strong production trajectory. His Verdict efficiency grade is at the 45th percentile, and Verdict usage grade is at the 72nd percentile, indicating room for improvement. Coleman has 3 years remaining on his contract with a $2,518,565 APY, providing role security.
Injury Risk
No injury entries in 2025. Coleman’s Verdict durability grade is at the 76th percentile, indicating a relatively low risk profile given his age.
Opportunity Notes
Coleman’s snap share trended down from 88.0% to 45.0% in Week 13. However, his role is secure with 3 years remaining on his contract.
Scheme Fit Analysis
Pete Carmichael coordinates a west coast offense with a 14.4% play-action rate and 78.0% shotgun rate. This scheme helps Coleman’s production with moderate shotgun and play-action use.
Trend Assessment
Stable. Coleman’s production grades are consistent, and his snap share trended down from 88.0% to 45.0% in Week 13.
Ceiling / Floor
Ceiling: WR1-WR3. Coleman must maintain his 3-year contract and secure his role with the Bills to reach his ceiling.
Floor: WR4-WR6. If Coleman’s snap share continues to decline or he loses his role, he may fall to the bottom tier.
Comparable Player
Steve Smith, 2001-2008.