Summary
Justin Jefferson carries a 58.0 dynasty score, ranking 210 at LB. He posted 35 solo tackles, 21 assists, 2 sacks, and 3 pressures in 2025, but faces a 38th percentile durability grade and a 41st percentile contract grade. Justin Jefferson is 23 years old with 3 years remaining on his contract.
Projection Rationale
Justin Jefferson’s 35 solo tackles and 21 assists in 2025 indicate a strong tackle production trajectory. However, his 38th percentile durability grade and 41st percentile contract grade suggest a moderate level of uncertainty. He has 3 years remaining on his contract with an APY of $1,225,264.
Injury Risk
No injury entries in 2025. Justin Jefferson’s 38th percentile durability grade suggests a moderate risk profile for a 23-year-old player.
Opportunity Notes
Justin Jefferson played 34.6% of defensive snaps in 2025, a 1.5% increase from the previous season. His role appears secure, but the Browns’ coaching change and scheme adjustments may impact his production.
Scheme Fit Analysis
Mike Rutenberg coordinates a 4-3 defense with a 33.9% blitz rate. This scheme helps Justin Jefferson’s sack production, as he had 2 sacks in 2025. However, the high blitz rate may limit his tackle production.
Trend Assessment
Stable. The trend direction is stable, as the player’s production and usage grades are relatively consistent, but his durability grade and contract situation are concerning.
Ceiling / Floor
Justin Jefferson’s ceiling is LB2-LB3, requiring him to maintain his current snap share and tackle production. His floor is LB4-LB5, referencing his 2,030 trade value and 41st percentile contract grade.
Comparable Player
Lawrence Timmons, 2007-2013.