Summary
Julian Hill carries a 47.0 dynasty score, ranking 108 at TE. Hill’s 2025 season saw him receive 15/20 targets for 140 yards, indicating stable production, but his 56.7% snap share declined throughout the year, and he has 2 years remaining on his contract.
Projection Rationale
Hill’s 2025 season stats (140 yds, 15/20 tgt, 0 TD) indicate stable production, with his Usage grade at the 83rd percentile showing he remains a key part of the Patriots’ offense. However, his contract situation (APY: $5,000,000, Years Remaining: 2) provides some security for his role.
Injury Risk
No injury entries in 2025. Hill’s Durability grade at the 88th percentile suggests he is less prone to injury, but his age (25) and increasing snap share may elevate his injury risk profile.
Opportunity Notes
Hill’s snap share (56.7%) trended down in 2025, with a low of 46.0% in Week 11. His role is somewhat secure, but the Patriots’ 3-4 defense and new DC Zak Kuhr may impact his usage.
Scheme Fit Analysis
Josh McDaniels coordinates a run-heavy offense (49.6% run rate) with a 53.5% shotgun rate. This scheme helps Hill’s ceiling, as his Usage grade at the 83rd percentile indicates he remains a key part of the Patriots’ offense.
Trend Assessment
Rising. Hill’s trend is ascending as per Verdict Scores, with his Production grade at the 19th percentile and his Durability grade at the 88th percentile indicating improving production and reduced injury risk.
Ceiling / Floor
Ceiling: TE3-TE5, with Hill’s Usage grade at the 83rd percentile indicating he remains a key part of the Patriots’ offense. Floor: TE6-TE8, with his Contract grade at the 50th percentile suggesting some uncertainty about his role.
Comparable Player
Kellen Winslow, 1985-1997.