Summary
Joel Wilson carries a 40.0 dynasty score, ranking 156 at TE. With a 100th percentile age trajectory grade, Wilson has a high floor due to his youth and should remain a key target for the Titans. His relatively low age also provides a long-term outlook, making him a valuable asset in dynasty leagues.
Projection Rationale
His efficiency grade is at the 50th percentile, suggesting room for improvement. With one year remaining on his contract and a $967,500 APY, Wilson’s role security is high. Additionally, his relatively low salary cap hit makes him an attractive asset for the Titans.
Injury Risk
No injury entries in 2025. At age 25, Wilson’s durability grade is at the 75th percentile, indicating a relatively low injury risk.
Opportunity Notes
With a new HC and OC, Wilson’s role may increase, but he faces competition from other tight ends.
Scheme Fit Analysis
Brian Daboll coordinates a spread system with play-action rates projected from his BUF background. Wilson’s efficiency grade is at the 50th percentile, which may improve in a more pass-happy scheme. However, his limited production may be a concern in a system that prioritizes efficiency over volume.
Trend Assessment
Stable. Wilson’s production grade remains at the 0th percentile, and his durability grade is at the 75th percentile, indicating consistent usage but limited efficiency.
Ceiling / Floor
Ceiling: TE2-TE3, requires increased efficiency and production. Floor: TE5-TE6, if his role decreases or he loses the job.
Comparable Player
Shane Waldron, 2005-2009