Summary
Ezekiel Elliott carries a 65.0 dynasty score, ranking 94 at RB. Elliott’s rushing efficiency has declined with a 49th percentile Verdict efficiency grade, but he remains durable with a 94th percentile Verdict durability grade heading into age 30.
Projection Rationale
Elliott’s 51.5 fantasy points in 15 games indicate stable production, but his 41st percentile Verdict production grade and 49th percentile Verdict efficiency grade suggest room for improvement. With one year remaining on his contract, Elliott’s APY of $2,000,000 provides some security, but his age and declining snap share raise concerns about his future role.
Injury Risk
No injury entries in 2024. At age 29, Elliott’s durability is a significant asset.
Opportunity Notes
Elliott’s snap share trended down from 51.0% to 10.0% over the season. With 0 years remaining on his contract, Elliott’s role is not secure.
Scheme Fit Analysis
The Cowboys’ offense, coordinated by Dan Quinn, does not directly affect Elliott’s fantasy production. Quinn’s emphasis on run-heavy plays may limit Elliott’s efficiency.
Trend Assessment
Declining. Elliott’s snap share has trended down from 51.0% to 10.0% over the season, indicating a reduced role.
Ceiling / Floor
Ceiling: RB3-RB5. For Elliott to reach his ceiling, he must regain his previous snap share and efficiency. Floor: RB6-RB8. If Elliott loses his job or struggles with efficiency, he may be tradeable for a late-round pick.
Comparable Player
Franco Harris, 1970-74.