Summary
Caleb Downs carries a 58.0 dynasty score, ranking 323 at DB. With 3 years remaining on his contract and an annual salary of $7.2 million, his role security appears stable.
Projection Rationale
His Verdict efficiency grade of 38 percent and Verdict durability grade of 38 percent suggest a need to improve his production and stay healthy. With 3 years remaining on his contract, Downs’ role security seems stable, and his current performance does not justify a higher ranking. However, it is essential to monitor his development and potential improvements in the coming seasons.
Injury Risk
No injury entries in 2025. Downs’ Verdict durability grade percentile is 38, and he is 21 years old. His age and current health status suggest that he is not particularly injury-prone.
Opportunity Notes
Downs faces competition from other defensive backs, making his role uncertain. The Cowboys’ secondary has a few talented players vying for playing time, which may impact Downs’ opportunities.
Scheme Fit Analysis
Matt Eberflus coordinates a 4-3 defense with a 28.2% blitz rate. The zone-heavy 4-3 scheme may limit Downs’ ability to make plays in space, which could negatively impact his performance. This scheme fit may require Downs to be more selective with his assignments and play more conservatively.
Trend Assessment
Declining
Downs’ production declined in 2025, with a Verdict production grade placing him at the 32nd percentile and a Verdict usage grade at the 38th percentile, indicating a decrease in his workload. Furthermore, his snap count and involvement in the passing game have also seen a slight decrease.
Ceiling / Floor
Ceiling: DB2-DB3, requiring an increase in his defensive snaps and production.
Floor: DB5, referencing his Verdict durability grade and trade value of 1,740.
Comparable Player
Mark Carrier, 1989-1994.