Summary
Baker Mayfield carries a 76.0 dynasty score, ranking 33 at QB. Mayfield’s passing production declined in 2025, but he’s signed for two more seasons.
Projection Rationale
Mayfield’s 2025 passing line of 3,693 yards, 26 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions indicates a decline in production. His Verdict production grade is at the 87th percentile, and his Verdict efficiency grade is at the 67th percentile, which explains the gap between his passing production and efficiency. Mayfield is signed for two more seasons, with an APY of $33,333,333 and $40,000,000 in guaranteed remaining.
Injury Risk
No injury entries in 2025. Mayfield’s Verdict durability grade is at the 100th percentile, and he’s 31 years old.
Opportunity Notes
Mayfield’s snap share was 99.8% in 2025, trending stable. There is competition for the starting QB role in Tampa Bay, but Mayfield’s contract situation suggests he’ll retain the job.
Scheme Fit Analysis
Todd Bowles coordinates a multiple offense with a significant emphasis on play-action passes. Mayfield’s production was affected by the team’s overall scheme, which may limit his ceiling.
Trend Assessment
Declining. Baker Mayfield’s passing production declined in 2025, and his dynasty score reflects a downward trend.
Ceiling / Floor
Mayfield’s ceiling is QB5-QB7, and he must improve his efficiency to reach that range. His floor is QB12-QB15, and his trade value of 7,904 suggests he’s a mid-tier asset.
Comparable Player
Kurt Warner, 1998-2001.