Summary
Arik Armstead carries a 75.0 dynasty score, ranking 161 at DL. Armstead’s production declined to 47th percentile in 2025, and he is 32 years old with two years remaining on his contract.
Projection Rationale
Armstead’s 2025 stats, which include 5.5 sacks and 7 tackles for loss, indicate a moderate decline from his previous production. His 9.7% missed tackle rate and 16 pressures also suggest a decrease in efficiency. Armstead’s contract situation, with two years remaining and an annual salary of $14.5 million, provides stability but may limit his role in 2027. Moreover, the team’s defensive scheme and coaching staff could impact his performance moving forward.
Injury Risk
No injury entries in 2025. Armstead’s durability grade is at the 88th percentile, indicating he has been relatively healthy.
Opportunity Notes
Armstead’s defensive snap share trended down to 60.7% in 2025. The Jaguars’ defensive scheme, led by Anthony Campanile, may limit Armstead’s ceiling, as it focuses on zone coverage.
Scheme Fit Analysis
Anthony Campanile coordinates a 4-3 zone defense with a 25.8% blitz rate. Armstead’s production may be limited by the defensive scheme’s focus on zone coverage, which could hinder his ability to generate pressure.
Trend Assessment
Declining. Armstead’s production declined to 47th percentile in 2025, and his age is increasing. This downward trend suggests his performance may continue to deteriorate in the next couple of seasons.
Ceiling / Floor
Ceiling: DL3-DL4. Armstead must maintain his moderate production to reach this ceiling. Floor: DL5-DL6. Armstead’s trade value is 2,730, indicating a moderate floor.
Comparable Player
Lawrence Taylor, 1982-1993