Summary
Alexander Mattison carries a 73.0 dynasty score, ranking 65 at RB.
Mattison’s production trend is stable, as evident from his consistent snap share, but he’s at an age where durability becomes a concern.
Projection Rationale
Mattison’s 2025 season stats show a stable production trajectory, with a 66th percentile usage grade and a 42nd percentile efficiency grade. His contract situation is a concern, with a 50th percentile contract grade and no years remaining, which may impact his role security.
Injury Risk
No injury entries in 2025. Alexander Mattison’s durability grade is at the 88th percentile, indicating a low injury risk at 27 years old.
Opportunity Notes
Mattison’s snap share trended up in 2024, but it’s now down to 54.6%. The RB role in Miami is secure, with no clear competition for snaps.
Scheme Fit Analysis
This scheme may limit Mattison’s ceiling, as a run-heavy offense often doesn’t feature the running back as heavily in the passing game.
Trend Assessment
Stable. Mattison’s snap share trended up in 2024, but he’s now 27 and his durability grade is at the 88th percentile.
Ceiling / Floor
Ceiling: RB2-RB4, if Mattison sees a significant increase in pass targets and can maintain his snap share. Floor: RB5-RB7, if his snap share continues to decline or he loses the RB role.
Comparable Player
Willis McGahee, 2003-09.