Summary
Ahmarean Brown carries a 39.0 dynasty score, ranking 432 at WR. Brown’s production dipped in 2024, and he’s entering a critical age 24 season with two years remaining on his contract. The Bills’ receiver faces a challenge in securing a significant role, given the presence of other receivers on the roster.
Projection Rationale
Brown’s 2024 3-game stat line indicates a need for increased opportunities, which may not be forthcoming given his 50th percentile usage grade. His 50th percentile contract grade suggests he may struggle for role security. Brown has two years remaining on his contract, with an annual average salary of $225,000. The team’s receiver depth chart will play a significant role in determining Brown’s dynasty value.
Injury Risk
No injury entries in 2025. Brown’s 75th percentile durability grade and 24-year-old age profile indicate a moderate risk profile for injury.
Opportunity Notes
Brown’s snap share percentage in 2024 was 24.4%, which trended down. His role may be at risk due to the presence of other receivers on the roster. The Bills’ coaching staff will need to determine the optimal usage for their receivers.
Scheme Fit Analysis
This scheme may help limit Brown’s ceiling.
Trend Assessment
Declining. Brown’s production declined in 2024, and he’s on the verge of a significant age-related decline in his second season. This trend suggests that his dynasty value may be at risk of further decline.
Ceiling / Floor
Brown’s ceiling is WR3-WR5, which would require increased opportunity and efficiency. His floor is WR6-WR8, referencing his 1,775 trade value and 50th percentile usage grade.
Comparable Player
Billy Joe Dupree, 1977-1984.