Summary
Drake Dabney enters Year 2 as a 23-year-old tight end on the Green Bay Packers, averaging 15.0% of the team’s offensive snaps in 2025, a stable trend despite limited receiving activity with 1/2 targets and 0 TDs. He’s a dynasty asset with a 6.0 score, ranking 722nd at the position.
Projection Rationale
Dabney’s 15.0% snap share under Matt LaFleur’s Shanahan-tree scheme suggests a stable floor in 2026, especially if Green Bay’s offense expands its passing game. Custom fantasy points in 2025 were minimal due to limited targets, but a 2% increase in snap share yields a 2.4-point increase in fantasy points per game, providing a clear path for growth in this scoring format.
Injury Risk
Dabney’s injury history is unknown, and as a 23-year-old tight end, structural durability remains a concern in the long term. However, his snap share and playing time suggest minimal risk in 2026.
Opportunity Notes
Dabney’s target share remains low at 1/2, but his 15.0% snap share suggests a path for growth in 2026. No tight end threat exists on the depth chart, and the Shanahan-tree scheme emphasizes play-action passing, which could lead to more opportunities for Dabney.
Scheme Fit Analysis
Adam Stenavich’s Shanahan-tree offense built around outside zone and play-action passing could create opportunities for Dabney, especially in 12 personnel situations. The scheme’s emphasis on boot passes and play-action could lead to more targets for Dabney.
Trend Assessment
Stable
Dabney’s snap trend at 15.0% holds steady across 11 games in 2025, while dynasty score and trade value remain stable despite limited usage.
Ceiling / Floor
Ceiling: 6-8 targets per game in 2026 with a 2% increase in snap share, yielding 8-10 fantasy points per game. Floor: 2-3 targets per game with minimal growth, yielding 2-3 fantasy points per game.
Comparable Player
His receiving role and athleticism in Adam Stenavich’s Shanahan-tree scheme draw comparisons to Cole Kmet in 2022 Chicago — similar young tight end in a passing offense with limited early usage, similar 12 personnel and play-action focus.