Summary
Dillon Gabriel enters Year 2 as the Cleveland Browns’ starter at age 25, with a 52.1% average snap share in 2025. His dynasty score stands at 39.0, ranking #52 at the position. Gabriel’s ascending trend is tempered by limited usage, as he’s averaged 52.1% of snaps with a 59.5% passing completion rate and 7 touchdowns over 15 games.
Projection Rationale
Gabriel’s 52.1% average snap share and 59.5% passing completion rate in 2025 establish a usage floor for the 25-year-old QB. The Browns’ Shanahan-tree offense emphasizes outside zone runs and play-action bootlegs, which complements Gabriel’s athleticism. While his passing yards (937) and touchdowns (7) are modest, his 2-interception season and 52.1% snap share suggest a QB3 ceiling.
Injury Risk
Gabriel carried full participation in practice in Week 18 and Week 13, and was limited in Week 17 but practiced fully the following week. His injury history is minimal, but the Browns’ 4-3 defense with aggressive man coverage may expose him to contact.
Opportunity Notes
Gabriel’s 52.1% average snap share is a usage floor, but his 4.0% and 2.0% dips in Weeks 4 and 16, respectively, indicate some volatility. The Browns’ offense emphasizes play-action, which complements Gabriel’s athleticism. No QB2 threat exists on the depth chart.
Scheme Fit Analysis
The Browns’ Shanahan-tree offense, with Stefanski’s emphasis on outside zone runs and play-action bootlegs, fits Gabriel’s athleticism. While Schwartz’s 4-3 defense with man-heavy coverage may expose Gabriel to contact, the QB’s 52.1% snap share and 59.5% accuracy establish a usage floor.
Trend Assessment
Stable
Gabriel’s 52.1% average snap share and 59.5% passing completion rate in 2025 indicate a stable presence in the Browns’ offense, despite limited usage.
Ceiling / Floor
Ceiling tracks near 72.1 points per game, with a mid-season injury or increased usage the only realistic paths to meaningful regression below that line. Floor tracks near 72.1 points per game given Gabriel’s 52.1% snap share and 59.5% accuracy.
Comparable Player
His developmental profile and 59.5% accuracy draw comparisons to Gardner Minshew II in 2020 — both players started 15 games as second-year QBs with a mix of college production and limited NFL experience.