Indianapolis Colts

Drew Ogletree

Age
27
·
Sleeper ID
8489
Verdict scores
Trade Value 2,070
Win-Now 0.5/10
Consistency 0
Positional Rank 111
Trade Value Tier C
Trend ↓ Declining
Scouting report

Summary

Drew Ogletree enters Year 5 as a 27-year-old tight end for the Indianapolis Colts, boasting a dynasty score of 28.0 and ranking #119 at the position. Ogletree posted 10.7 fantasy points in 2025 on 27 receiving yards and four targets, with one touchdown and one first down. His limited target share and modest production floor are tempered by the Colts’ spread scheme and Jim Bob Cooter’s offense.

Projection Rationale

Ogletree’s 2025 baseline of 10.7 fantasy points on a 27-yard receiving output and four targets, with one touchdown and one first down, suggests a modest floor. The Colts’ spread scheme under Jim Bob Cooter and Shane Steichen’s offense prioritizes wide receiver production, potentially limiting Ogletree’s target share and ceiling. However, his 2025 statistics hint at a role in the passing game, with one touchdown and one first down indicating a potential for late-game targets.

Injury Risk

Ogletree’s injury history is not reported, but positional injury rates for tight ends are lower compared to wide receivers and running backs due to their generally reduced contact exposure. This trend is consistent across the league.

Opportunity Notes

The Colts’ spread scheme under Shane Steichen and Jim Bob Cooter may limit Ogletree’s target share, but his 2025 statistics indicate a potential role in the passing game. No clear threats exist on the Colts’ depth chart, with Ogletree boasting a modest target share of four receptions on six targets in 2025.

Scheme Fit Analysis

Shane Steichen’s spread system and Jim Bob Cooter’s offense prioritize wide receiver production, potentially limiting Ogletree’s target share. However, Ogletree’s 2025 statistics indicate a potential role in the passing game, with one touchdown and one first down suggesting a late-game target opportunity.

Trend Assessment

Unknown Ogletree’s 2025 fantasy output — 10.7 points on 27 receiving yards and four targets — lacks clear trend direction given limited sample size.

Ceiling / Floor

Ceiling clears 2025’s 10.7-point finish if Ogletree expands his target share past four receptions or secures more frequent first downs. Floor tracks near 10.7 points given his modest 27-yard receiving output and four targets. A mid-season injury or reduced target share is the primary path to meaningful regression.

Comparable Player

His receiving role in Shane Steichen’s spread system draws comparisons to Dallas Goedert from 2021 Philadelphia — similar late-blooming, undersized tight end with modest early production and upside in a west coast system.