Las Vegas Raiders

Aidan O’Connell

Age
27
·
Sleeper ID
10866
Verdict scores
Trade Value 6,512
Win-Now 1.7/10
Consistency 0
Positional Rank 39
Trade Value Tier B
Trend → Stable
Scouting report

Summary

Aidan O’Connell enters Year 4 at age 27, carrying a 45.0 dynasty score and $3,600 trade value as the 44th-ranked QB in Verdict’s dynasty rankings. His 82.0% snap share in 2025 stabilizes his floor, despite averaging just 4.8 fantasy points across 12 games.

Projection Rationale

O’Connell’s snap share stability at 82.0% under Chip Kelly’s spread/RPO offense and Pete Carroll’s West Coast principles locks in his volume floor. The 2025 baseline shows a limited QB profile with 102 passing yards on 10/22 (45.5%) with no touchdowns or interceptions. Kelly’s system emphasizes passing efficiency, but O’Connell’s production did not meet the scheme’s promise.

Injury Risk

O’Connell practiced full participation in all injury reports throughout 2025, including Week 11, Week 10, and Week 9, with no DNPs or missed game time.

Opportunity Notes

O’Connell holds a 82.0% average offense snap share, stabilizing his floor, but the Chiefs do not display a clear QB2 threat on the depth chart. Quarterbacks with a stable snap share but limited production can be a difficult sell in dynasty trades, given his #44 ranking and $3,600 trade value.

Scheme Fit Analysis

Chip Kelly’s spread/RPO principles and Pete Carroll’s West Coast physicality form a unique combination that emphasizes passing efficiency. O’Connell’s arm talent fits the scheme, but his production did not meet the system’s promise.

Trend Assessment

Stable O’Connell’s snap share holds at 82.0% across 12 games in 2025, with a Week 18 mark of 82.0%, indicating a stable floor despite lackluster production.

Ceiling / Floor

Floor tracks near 4.8 fantasy points per game given the 82.0% snap share. Ceiling remains speculative, as O’Connell’s production did not meet the scheme’s promise.

Comparable Player

His passing efficiency in a spread system draws comparisons to Gardner Minshew from 2020 Jacksonville — similar arm talent, similar pass-happy scheme, and similar mid-tier production.