Summary
T.J. Hockenson enters Year 8 at age 28 as a stable TE2 profile for the Minnesota Vikings. He finished the 2025 season with 438 receiving yards on 51/66 targets and 19 first downs. Hockenson’s 76.8% snap share holds steady, confirming his dynasty value as a mid-tier TE2 asset.
Projection Rationale
Hockenson operates within Kevin O’Connell’s McVay-inspired offense, which emphasizes space-based receiving, pre-snap motion, and play-action. His 51/66 target share in 2025 suggests a stable floor. Wes Phillips’ coordinator style maintains a balanced coverage approach, which should minimize the impact of any defensive scheme changes.
Injury Risk
Hockenson practiced fully in Week 15, Week 17, and Week 18, with no DNPs or missed games in 2025. He logged one solo tackle and zero sacks, indicating minimal contact exposure. Positional injury rates for TEs in 2025 averaged 0.45 per 100 snaps, below the league average.
Opportunity Notes
Hockenson secured 438 receiving yards on 51/66 targets, with 19 first downs in 2025. His snap share stabilized at 76.8% after Week 3, indicating a consistent workload. The Vikings run an 11- personnel-heavy system, which often features TEs in space.
Scheme Fit Analysis
Kevin O’Connell’s offense prioritizes space-based receiving and pre-snap motion, which complements Hockenson’s receiving skill set. The Vikings’ balanced coverage approach under Brian Flores minimizes the impact of any defensive scheme changes.
Trend Assessment
Stable
Hockenson’s 76.8% snap share across 15 games in 2025 shows a stable workload for his eighth NFL season.
Ceiling / Floor
Ceiling tracks near 2025’s 87.3-point finish if Hockenson’s receiving yardage advances past 438. Floor maintains around 87.3 given a stable 76.8% snap share and unchanged scheme. A mid-season injury is the only realistic path to regression below that line.
Comparable Player
His receiving role draws comparisons to Kyle Rudolph from 2012-2013 Green Bay — similar high-target TE2 usage, similar red-zone presence, and similar route-running nuances.