Summary
Tarik Black carries a 40.0 dynasty score, ranking 362 at WR. Black’s production significantly declined with a 0th percentile Verdict production grade, limited to only one receiving touchdown in 11 games, which was a disappointing outcome.
Projection Rationale
Black’s receptions in 11 games indicate a decline in production. His Verdict efficiency grade at the 50th percentile suggests average efficiency. Black’s one-year contract with $922,500 APY and no guaranteed remaining may impact his role security. Furthermore, his performance is also a concern, and his efficiency was not consistent throughout the season. Additionally, the limited number of receptions and lack of touchdowns raise concerns about his overall production.
Injury Risk
No injury entries in 2024. Black’s Verdict durability grade at the 75th percentile indicates above-average durability for his age, which is a positive aspect of his profile.
Opportunity Notes
The wide receiver corps is somewhat crowded, and Black may face competition for his role, which could impact his playing time and production.
Scheme Fit Analysis
The scheme may limit Black’s ceiling due to reduced passing opportunities, which could restrict his ability to contribute significantly to the team’s offense.
Trend Assessment
Declining. Production declined with a 0th percentile Verdict production grade, and his efficiency was not consistent throughout the season.
Ceiling / Floor
Ceiling: WR5-WR6 if he regains his pre-injury form. Black must recover from his 0th percentile production grade to reach this ceiling. Floor: WR7-WR10 if the wide receiver corps becomes more competitive or Black loses his spot, which is a possible outcome given the current situation.
Comparable Player
Torry Holt, 1998-2004.