Summary
Tanner Arkin holds a 10.0 dynasty score, ranking 400 at tight end.
Arkin is a 22-year-old rookie tight end entering his first season with the Patriots.
Projection Rationale
Arkin’s 2025 Verdict production grade at the 23rd percentile suggests a decline in production, while his Verdict efficiency grade is at the 12th percentile, indicating room for improvement in his efficiency.
His rookie contract is a 4-year deal worth $4.3 million, with $1.2 million guaranteed.
Injury Risk
No injury entries in 2025.
Arkin’s age of 22 is considered a low-risk age for injuries.
Opportunity Notes
Arkin’s snap share is currently unknown.
He will compete for the TE2 role behind Hunter Henry, although it is unclear what his role will be in the Patriots’ offense.
Scheme Fit Analysis
Josh McDaniels coordinates an offense that frequently uses 11 personnel, with a 49.0% snap rate in that formation.
The Patriots’ offense features a run-heavy scheme, with a focus on establishing the ground game.
Trend Assessment
Declining
Arkin’s Verdict production grade is at the 23rd percentile, indicating a decline in production compared to his peers, with his grade placing him in the lower third of his position group.
Ceiling / Floor
Arkin’s ceiling is TE2-TE3, requiring him to establish himself as a reliable pass-catching tight end.
His floor is TE5, given the presence of Hunter Henry and a lack of guaranteed snaps in the Patriots’ offense.
Comparable Player
Jason Witten, 2003-2017.