Summary
Steven Nelson carries a 69.0 dynasty score, ranking 214 at DB.
Nelson’s 2024 season production was limited to 4 games, indicating a need for a full season of data to assess his value; his age and upcoming free agency in 2025 add uncertainty to his timeline.
Projection Rationale
Nelson’s 4-game 2024 season stat line (0 interceptions, 0 passes defended, 0 solo tackles) indicates a need for improved production; his Verdict production grade at the 58th percentile suggests room for growth; his contract situation (APY: $383,400, Years Remaining: 0) adds uncertainty to his role security.
Injury Risk
No injury entries in 2025.
Nelson’s 32 years old with a 75th percentile Verdict durability grade percentile.
Opportunity Notes
Nelson’s 2023 snap share trended down to 68.0% in Week 20.
There is competition for the DB role in the upcoming season.
Scheme Fit Analysis
Sean Duggan coordinates a 4-3 defense with a 21.0% blitz rate.
Nelson’s role in the scheme may be impacted by his declining snap share.
Trend Assessment
Declining
Nelson’s snap share trended down from 94.3% in 2023, indicating a potential shift in defensive coordinator Sean Duggan’s scheme or role allocation.
Ceiling / Floor
Ceiling: DB1-DB3 – requires improved production and a secure role in the secondary; Floor: DB5-DB6 – if Nelson loses the starting job or his production declines further.
Nelson’s trade value is 2,277.
Comparable Player
Mike Jenkins, 2008-2012.