Summary
Sam Ehlinger carries a 36.0 dynasty score, ranking 115 at QB. Ehlinger’s efficiency grade at the 50th percentile indicates steady production, and his age trajectory at the 100th percentile suggests a prolonged NFL career. Given his age and no guaranteed remaining contract dollars, Ehlinger is expected to re-sign or secure a starting role in 2027.
Projection Rationale
His efficiency grade at the 50th percentile and durability Verdict grade at the 75th percentile indicate that Ehlinger will remain a reliable mid-tier QB in 2026. With no guaranteed remaining contract dollars, Ehlinger will likely re-sign or secure a starting role in 2027.
Injury Risk
No injury entries in 2025. Ehlinger’s durability Verdict grade at the 75th percentile suggests a relatively low risk of injury in 2026.
Opportunity Notes
Ehlinger’s snap share percentage was 74.3% in 2025. His snap share trended up, indicating a strong opportunity for playing time in 2026. With no guaranteed remaining contract dollars, Ehlinger may face competition for the starting role in 2026.
Scheme Fit Analysis
Sean Payton coordinates a west coast offense with a 64.3% shotgun rate. Ehlinger’s efficiency will be helped by the west coast scheme’s emphasis on quick, high-percentage passes.
Trend Assessment
Stable. Ehlinger’s efficiency grade at the 50th percentile and durability Verdict grade at the 75th percentile indicate consistency in production and health.
Ceiling / Floor
Ehlinger’s ceiling is a QB2 finish, requiring a consistent start to the 2026 season and a strong supporting cast. His floor is a QB5 finish, referencing his trade value, indicating a relatively low market value.
Comparable Player
Kurt Warner, 1999-2003.