Summary
Breece Hall enters Year 5 as the Jets’ top running back at age 24, ranked #10 at the position in Verdict’s dynasty score (70.0, stable trend). He posted 189.7 fantasy points in 2025 on a 66.9% offensive snap share — a solid RB2 profile with some opportunity risk. Contender rosters should consider him as a mid-tier option rather than a top-tier back.
Projection Rationale
Hall logs 66.9% of the Jets’ offensive snaps under Aaron Glenn’s scheme, which locks in his volume floor. The 2025 baseline — 1,065 rushing yards on 243 carries, 4 rushing TDs, and 350 receiving yards on 36/48 targets — shows a solid dual-threat profile with room for improvement in the passing game. Twenty-three rushing first downs add meaningful secondary value, and the 189.7-point finish establishes a stable projection floor.
Injury Risk
Hall practiced full in Week 16 and Week 15, and limited in Week 18, but remained on the field for all 16 games. His snap share stability and moderate rushing exposure reduce injury risk.
Opportunity Notes
Snap share holds at 66.9% with weekly marks at 54-88% across most games and only one dip to 54% on the late-season log. The Jets run a spread offense under Tanner Engstrand, and Hall’s 243 rushing attempts confirm a high-volume profile. No RB2 threat exists on the depth chart. With 350 receiving yards on 36/48 targets, designed pass-catching involvement remains part of the play call.
Scheme Fit Analysis
Aaron Glenn’s scheme with a spread passing attack builds around the RB position, where Hall is the clear lead back. Tanner Engstrand’s system leverages Hall’s dual-threat skills, and the 23 rushing first downs on 243 carries reflect designed keepers and scramble-drill extensions, both of which pay in this scoring format. Scheme continuity plus a system engineered to his running style drives the RB2 ceiling.
Trend Assessment
Stable
Verdict’s dynasty score for Hall is 70.0, reflecting his stable 66.9% snap share across 16 games in 2025.
Ceiling / Floor
Ceiling clears 2025’s 189.7-point finish if rushing TDs advance past 4 and receiving yards expand beyond 350 — the combination pays in this custom format. Floor tracks near 189.7 given stable 66.9% snap share and an unchanged scheme. A mid-season injury is the only realistic path to meaningful regression below that line.
Comparable Player
His role as a high-volume RB2 in a spread offense draws comparisons to Dalvin Cook from 2020-2022 Minnesota — similar usage, similar 60-70% snap shares, and similar rushing TD upside.