Summary
Nelson Agholor carries a 73.0 dynasty score, ranking 115 at WR. Agholor’s 35th percentile production grade in 2024 indicates his ceiling, and with one year remaining on his contract, he is entering a make-or-break season at age 31.
Projection Rationale
Agholor’s 14 receptions for 231 yards and 2 touchdowns in 2024 indicate a ceiling of WR4-WR5 production. His 67th percentile efficiency grade suggests room for improvement. Agholor’s contract situation provides a make-or-break season at age 31. To achieve his ceiling, Agholor will need to maintain his usage and efficiency grades, which will be a challenging task considering his declining production trend.
Injury Risk
No injury entries in 2025. Agholor’s 91st percentile durability grade and age of 31 mitigate some injury risk. However, it is essential to monitor his health closely, as injuries can significantly impact his production.
Opportunity Notes
Agholor’s snap share trended down from 44.0% to 29.0% in 2024. The WR corps in Baltimore has competition, but Agholor’s role appears secure, and he should continue to see a significant number of snaps.
Scheme Fit Analysis
Greg Roman coordinates a run-heavy offense. Agholor’s efficiency grade could benefit from more downfield targets, which would allow him to take advantage of his speed and agility.
Trend Assessment
Declining
Agholor’s production declined with a 58th percentile usage grade, and his snap share trended down from 44.0% to 29.0% in 2024.
Ceiling / Floor
Ceiling: WR4-WR5; Agholor must maintain his usage and efficiency grades. Floor: WR6-WR7; Agholor’s trade value of 5,220 and 50th percentile contract grade suggest a lower tier finish if volume decreases or the WR corps changes.
Comparable Player
Marques Colston, 2006-2014