Summary
Matthew Slater carries a 7.0 dynasty score, ranking 968 at WR. With 38 years old and one year remaining on his contract, Slater’s production is expected to decline.
Projection Rationale
Slater’s 72 receptions in 16 games in 2023 indicate a stable usage level. With one year remaining on his contract, Slater’s role is secure. The Patriots’ offense, however, may experience changes due to coaching staff adjustments and player retirements.
Injury Risk
No injury entries in 2023. At 38 years old, Slater’s Verdict durability grade at the 30th percentile suggests that he is at higher risk for injuries.
Opportunity Notes
Slater’s 1.0% target share trended stable in 2023. With his age and declining production, there is competition for his role, and his playing time may decrease. Additionally, the Patriots’ receiving corps may see an influx of younger players, potentially impacting Slater’s playing time.
Scheme Fit Analysis
The scheme does not particularly help or limit Slater’s ceiling.
Trend Assessment
Declining. The stable snap trend and decline in production indicate that Slater’s playing time is likely to decrease, and his efficiency is expected to drop.
Ceiling / Floor
Slater’s ceiling is WR5-WR6, and he must maintain a stable snap share to reach that level. His floor is WR8-WR10, and he may struggle to find playing time if he loses his current role.
Comparable Player
Ricky Proehl, 1999-2007.