Summary
Lan Larison carries a 40.0 dynasty score, ranking 195 at RB. In 2025, Larison’s 71 receptions and 209 receiving yards indicate a lack of involvement in the Patriots’ run-heavy offense. With two years remaining on his contract, Larison is poised for increased opportunities.
Projection Rationale
Larison’s 71 receptions and 209 receiving yards in 2025 indicate a lack of involvement in the Patriots’ run-heavy offense. His Verdict efficiency grade at the 50th percentile suggests that he is not particularly efficient, and his Verdict usage grade at the 50th percentile indicates that he is not receiving a high volume of targets. With two years remaining on his contract, Larison’s role security is a concern.
Injury Risk
No injury entries in 2025. At 24 years old, Larison’s durability grade at the 75th percentile suggests that he is relatively healthy, but his Verdict age trajectory grade at the 100th percentile indicates that he is still young and may be due for an increase in production.
Opportunity Notes
His role in the Patriots’ offense is not secure, and he may face competition from other running backs.
Scheme Fit Analysis
Josh McDaniels coordinates a run-heavy offense with a 49.6% run rate and 53.5% shotgun rate. Larison’s involvement in the Patriots’ offense is limited by their run-heavy scheme, which may continue to diminish his production.
Trend Assessment
Declining
Larison’s production declined in 2025, as indicated by his 0th percentile Verdict production grade. His lack of involvement in the Patriots’ offense, coupled with his aging trajectory, suggests that his role may continue to diminish.
Ceiling / Floor
Larison’s ceiling is RB3, and he would need to increase his involvement in the Patriots’ offense and demonstrate improved efficiency to reach this level. His floor is RB5, and he may struggle to find a starting role in the NFL.
Comparable Player
Chuck Foreman, 1976-1982