Summary
Justice Hill carries a 69.0 dynasty score, ranking 76 at RB. His 54.7 fantasy points in 16 games indicate a moderate production trajectory, considering his 44th percentile production grade and 50th percentile efficiency grade. Given his 1 year left on a $3,000,000 APY contract and 28 years old, Hill’s role security is uncertain.
Projection Rationale
Hill’s 54.7 fantasy points in 16 games and 18/27 targets in 2025 indicate moderate production, but his 45th percentile usage grade suggests limited involvement. His Verdict production grade at the 44th percentile and efficiency grade at the 50th percentile indicate a moderate production trajectory. Given his contract situation, Hill’s role security is uncertain.
Injury Risk
Justice Hill suffered an out injury in Week 13 of the 2025 season, but had a full practice participation in Week 12. His Verdict durability grade percentile is 80th. As a 28-year-old, Hill’s injury risk profile is moderate.
Opportunity Notes
Hill’s snap share percentage trended down in 2025, averaging 38.5% compared to 45.0% in Week 1. His role is uncertain with 1 year left on his contract and a 50th percentile contract grade.
Scheme Fit Analysis
Declan Doyle coordinates a spread offense with a 51.7% shotgun rate and 32.6% 12 personnel usage. This scheme helps Hill’s efficiency, but limits his ceiling due to the moderate involvement expected in this system.
Trend Assessment
Declining. Hill’s 69.0 dynasty score and 76 position rank reflect his declining trend, with a 44th percentile production grade and 45th percentile usage grade indicating decreasing production.
Ceiling / Floor
Hill’s ceiling is RB2-RB3, requiring moderate production and involvement in the offense. His floor is RB5-RB6, referencing his 5,313 trade value and a moderate production trajectory. Considering his Verdict grades and contract situation, Hill’s floor is RB5-RB6.
Comparable Player
Corey Dillon, 2001-2004