Summary
Josh Oliver carries a 77.0 dynasty score, ranking 39 at TE. At age 29 with 2 years remaining on his contract, Oliver has a stable production trajectory.
Projection Rationale
Oliver’s 2025 season stats (47.5 fantasy points) indicate he can contribute as a mid-tier TE, but he needs to improve his efficiency to reach the top TE ranks. According to Verdict grades, Oliver’s efficiency grade is at the 50th percentile. With 2 years remaining on his contract, Oliver’s role security is stable.
Injury Risk
No injury entries in 2025. Oliver’s durability grade is at the 92nd percentile, indicating a low risk of injury.
Opportunity Notes
Oliver’s snap share increased to 62.0% in Week 14 and Week 15. With 2 years remaining on his contract, his role is secure.
Scheme Fit Analysis
Wes Phillips coordinates a mcvay_tree offense with a 45.9% run rate and 16.4% play-action rate. This scheme helps Oliver’s production by increasing his target volume.
Trend Assessment
Stable. Oliver’s Verdict grades and snap share trends indicate consistent production, but his overall rank remains relatively low due to positional depth.
Ceiling / Floor
Ceiling: TE2-TE3. For Oliver to reach the top TE ranks, he needs to improve his efficiency and increase his target volume. Floor: TE4-TE5. If Oliver’s target volume decreases or he loses his starting role, his fantasy value will drop.
Comparable Player
Shannon Sharpe, 1993-2003.