Summary
Josh Blackwell carries a 38.0 dynasty score, ranking 500 at DB.
With 1 solo tkl in 16 games, his production is steady but limited. At 27 years old and entering his 5th year, Blackwell has a stable role and a secure contract situation, with a 1-year deal remaining.
Projection Rationale
Blackwell’s 1 solo tkl in 16 games indicates limited production, ranking 9th percentile in production. He has a 47th percentile efficiency grade, which explains the gap between his production and efficiency. With a 1-year contract remaining and a stable role, his role security is high.
Injury Risk
No injury entries in 2025.
Blackwell’s Verdict durability grade is at the 82nd percentile, indicating he has a low injury risk profile, especially considering his age.
Opportunity Notes
Blackwell’s snap share has been stable at 4.0%, indicating a consistent role. There is no clear competition for his spot on the depth chart, and his role appears secure.
Scheme Fit Analysis
Dennis Allen coordinates a 4-3 defense with a 28.2% blitz rate.
The scheme helps Blackwell’s ceiling, as he can thrive in a zone-heavy scheme with limited pressure.
Trend Assessment
Stable.
Blackwell’s snap share has remained steady at 4.0%, with only one instance of 4.0% in Week 4. His production has also been consistent, with no turnovers or pressures in the 2025 season stats.
Ceiling / Floor
Ceiling: DB2-DB3 with a strong secondary and a reduced blitz rate. For this outcome, Blackwell needs to maintain his stable role and secure contract situation.
Floor: DB6-DB7 with a decreased snap share or a change in the defensive scheme. If his trade value is 798, he has a high floor, but his ceiling is limited by his production.
Comparable Player
Ty Law, 2000-2007.