Houston Texans

Graham Mertz, QB Texans | Dynasty Ranking & Value

Age
25
·
Sleeper ID
12705
Verdict scores
Trade Value 2,072
Win-Now 0.2/10
Consistency 0
Positional Rank 111
Trade Value Tier D
Trend → Stable
Scouting report

Summary

Graham Mertz carries a 37.0 dynasty score, ranking 111 at QB. Mertz is a 25-year-old second-year quarterback with a 3-year contract remaining. He has yet to establish himself in the NFL.

Projection Rationale

Mertz’s 2025 season stats are limited, but his efficiency grade is at the 50th percentile, indicating some potential. However, his production grade is at the 0th percentile, and his contract situation with 3 years remaining is a concern. He needs to establish himself as a reliable starter to improve his dynasty value.

Injury Risk

No injury entries in 2025. Mertz is a young quarterback with a durability grade at the 75th percentile, but his age and contract status raise concerns about his injury risk profile.

Opportunity Notes

He faces competition from other quarterbacks on the Texans roster, and his role is not secure.

Scheme Fit Analysis

Nick Caley coordinates a shanahan_tree offense with a 44.9% run rate and a 61.1% shotgun rate. This scheme helps Mertz’s ceiling by providing a balanced attack, but his lack of production and experience limit his upside.

Trend Assessment

Declining Mertz’s 2025 season stats are limited to three games, and his production has been lacking, contributing to a declining trend. His age and contract status also raise concerns about his long-term outlook.

Ceiling / Floor

Ceiling: QB3-QB5 – Mertz needs to establish himself as a reliable starter and improve his production to reach the top of this range. Floor: QB6-QB8 – Mertz’s low snap share and competition for the starting role make him a risk to fall to the bottom of this range.

Comparable Player

Trent Dilfer, 1999-2007.