Summary
Gardner Minshew carries a 72.0 dynasty score, ranking 42 at QB. His production declined in 2025, but he remains a viable backup option with a contract situation that should secure his role through 2027, considering his 68th percentile contract grade.
Projection Rationale
Minshew’s 2025 passing efficiency (46.2%) suggests he may struggle with consistency, but his 68th percentile contract grade and 0 years remaining on his contract indicate a secure role. His Verdict efficiency grade at the 49th percentile and usage grade at the 50th percentile suggest he may see increased opportunities in 2026.
Injury Risk
No injury entries in 2025. Minshew’s durability grade at the 61st percentile and 30-year-old age profile indicate a moderate injury risk.
Opportunity Notes
Minshew’s snap share percentage was 0% in 2025, but his role is secure, considering his contract situation and the Cardinals’ west-coast scheme.
Scheme Fit Analysis
Nathaniel Hackett coordinates a west-coast offense with a 73.2% shotgun rate, which should help Minshew’s passing efficiency. However, his Verdict production grade at the 54th percentile may limit his ceiling.
Trend Assessment
Declining
Gardner Minshew’s 2025 season stats, particularly his passing efficiency, indicate a declining trend, consistent with his 54th percentile production grade and 95th percentile age trajectory percentile.
Ceiling / Floor
Ceiling: QB6-QB8; Minshew would need to see increased opportunities and passing efficiency to reach this range. Floor: QB13-QB15; his Verdict trade value at 6,336 and 68th percentile contract grade suggest a low floor if he loses his role.
Comparable Player
Steve Young, 1986-2000.