Summary
Diego Pavia carries a 56.0 dynasty score, ranking 74 at QB. With a 38th percentile efficiency grade and a 41st percentile contract grade, Pavia’s production trajectory is uncertain at age 24 with one year of experience.
Projection Rationale
Pavia’s 2026 stat line is uncertain, but with a 38th percentile efficiency grade, he may struggle to match his 2025 production. His Verdict grade indicates a gap between his production and usage, and with one year remaining on his contract, his role is somewhat secure.
Injury Risk
No injury entries in 2025. Pavia’s durability grade is at the 38th percentile, and at age 24, he has a moderate injury risk profile.
Opportunity Notes
Pavia’s snap share is 51.7% in shotgun, and with a new head coach in Jesse Minter, his role may be secure in the spread offense.
Scheme Fit Analysis
Declan Doyle coordinates a spread offense with a 19.9% play-action rate, which is conducive to Pavia’s ceiling. This scheme also presents limitations to his potential.
Trend Assessment
Stable
Pavia’s efficiency grade remains at the 38th percentile from 2025, and his contract situation is stable with one year remaining.
Ceiling / Floor
Ceiling: QB2-QB4, with Pavia’s efficiency grade and contract situation suggesting a high floor, but a ceiling that may be limited by his age and experience.
Floor: QB5-QB8, with a trade value of 4,480 indicating a lower tier finish range if Pavia struggles to match his 2025 production.
Comparable Player
Jim Plunkett, 1979-1992.